Trending today
What people are betting on right now
The busiest prediction markets on Polymarket in the last 24 hours, updated Nov 13, 2:49 PM ET, leaving out single games and short crypto price bets. Each page shows the odds, how they moved and, where the same market is on Kalshi, both prices side by side.
| Market | Lead, 24h |
|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Leading on Polymarket: J.D. Vance, 32% | −2 pts |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Polymarket traders give this a 2% chance | +1 pt |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Leading on Polymarket: Jon Ossoff, 26% | – |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 Leading on Polymarket: Jon Ossoff, 17% | – |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Leading on Polymarket: November 13, >99% | +3 pts |
| Next French Presidential Election Leading on Polymarket: Marine Le Pen, 48% | +2 pts |
| Next CEO of NVIDIA? Leading on Polymarket: Ian Buck, 25% | −13 pts |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...? Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 2027, 50% | −5 pts |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause) Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 83% | +5 pts |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Leading on Polymarket: March 31, 59% | −1 pt |
| Jensen Huang divorce by...? Leading on Polymarket: March 31, 2027, 36% | −6 pts |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Polymarket traders give this a 8% chance | −1 pt |
| Next Prime Minister of Spain? Leading on Polymarket: Alberto Núñez Feijóo, 86% | +3 pts |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 2% | – |
| Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by...? Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 60% | – |
See the big bets as they land. ArbTrader's Whale Tracker shows every large bet on Kalshi and Polymarket the moment it's placed, and the AI Analyst researches any market in about a minute.
Try it free
Try it free
Earlier days: 11-12 · 11-11 · 11-10 · 11-09 · 11-08 · 11-07 · 11-06 · 11-05 · 11-04 · 11-03 · 11-02 · 11-01
Odds are the market's last traded price shown as a chance; they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Source: Polymarket. Game odds · Election odds