Trending market · updated Nov 13, 1:21 PM ET
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 2027, 50%. $146K traded in the last 24 hours, and it's set to close around December 31, 2026.
| Outcome | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 50% | −5 pts |
| March 31, 2027 | 25% | −1 pt |
| December 31 | 7% | −3 pts |
Day by day
| Date | Odds that day |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | December 31, 2027 50% · March 31, 2027 25% · December 31 7% |
| 2026-11-12 | December 31, 2027 50% · March 31, 2027 25% · December 31 8% |
| 2026-11-11 | December 31, 2027 49% · March 31, 2027 25% · December 31 6% |
| 2026-11-06 | December 31, 2027 42% · March 31, 2027 22% · December 31 12% |
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Odds are each market's last price shown as a chance (Kalshi: its current asking price), and they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Sources: Polymarket. All trending markets