Trending market · updated Nov 2, 11:39 PM ET
Texas Senate Election Winner
Leading on Polymarket: James Talarico (D), 75%. $2.2M traded in the last 24 hours, and it's set to close around November 4, 2026.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Talarico (D) | 75% | 74% | +1 pt |
| Ken Paxton (R) | 26% | 27% | −2 pts |
Kalshi vs Polymarket: James Talarico (D) is 75% on Polymarket and 74% on Kalshi, about the same. ArbTrader watches gaps like this around the clock and flags the ones that pay after fees. See all side-by-side odds
Day by day
| Date | Odds that day |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% |
| 2026-11-02 | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% |
| 2026-11-01 | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% |
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Odds are each market's last price shown as a chance (Kalshi: its current asking price), and they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Sources: Polymarket, Kalshi. All trending markets