Trending market · updated Nov 2, 11:39 PM ET
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Leading on Polymarket: Abdul El-Sayed (D), 81%. $1.6M traded in the last 24 hours, and it's set to close around November 4, 2026.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul El-Sayed (D) | 81% | 79% | +2 pts |
| Mike Rogers (R) | 20% | 22% | −2 pts |
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Abdul El-Sayed (D) is 81% on Polymarket and 79% on Kalshi, about the same. ArbTrader watches gaps like this around the clock and flags the ones that pay after fees. See all side-by-side odds
Day by day
| Date | Odds that day |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% |
| 2026-11-02 | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% |
| 2026-11-01 | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 75% · Mike Rogers (R) 26% |
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Odds are each market's last price shown as a chance (Kalshi: its current asking price), and they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Sources: Polymarket, Kalshi. All trending markets