Trending market · updated Nov 1, 10:49 PM ET
Iowa Senate Election Winner
Leading on Polymarket: Ashley Hinson (R), 53%. $591K traded in the last 24 hours, and it's set to close around November 4, 2026.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Hinson (R) | 53% | 52% | −5 pts |
| Josh Turek (D) | 49% | 48% | +7 pts |
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Ashley Hinson (R) is 53% on Polymarket and 52% on Kalshi, about the same. ArbTrader watches gaps like this around the clock and flags the ones that pay after fees. See all side-by-side odds
Day by day
| Date | Odds that day |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Ashley Hinson (R) 53% · Josh Turek (D) 49% |
| 2026-11-01 | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 43% |
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Odds are each market's last price shown as a chance (Kalshi: its current asking price), and they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Sources: Polymarket, Kalshi. All trending markets