Trending market · updated Nov 2, 6:37 PM ET
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)
Leading on Polymarket: None, 34%. $18.4M traded in the last 24 hours, and it's set to close around November 3, 2026.
| Outcome | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| None | 34% | +8 pts |
| IA | 12% | +2 pts |
| IA, KS | 6% | −6 pts |
| All 7 | 4% | – |
| KS | 4% | −1 pt |
| AK, IA, KS | 3% | +1 pt |
| AK, IA | 2% | +1 pt |
| AK | 2% | +1 pt |
| AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX | 2% | +1 pt |
| ME | 2% | – |
| IA, ME | 1% | – |
| IA, OH | 1% | – |
Day by day
| Date | Odds that day |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | None 34% · IA 12% · IA, KS 6% · All 7 4% |
| 2026-11-01 | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% · KS 4% |
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Odds are each market's last price shown as a chance (Kalshi: its current asking price), and they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Sources: Polymarket. All trending markets