Trending market · updated Nov 10, 8:09 AM ET
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 34%. $195K traded in the last 24 hours, and it's set to close around January 1, 2027.
| Outcome | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 34% | −4 pts |
| November 30 | 17% | −1 pt |
Day by day
| Date | Odds that day |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-10 | December 31 34% · November 30 17% |
| 2026-11-09 | December 31 34% · November 30 14% |
| 2026-11-05 | December 31 35% · November 30 19% · November 6 <1% |
| 2026-11-04 | December 31 36% · November 30 22% · November 6 1% |
| 2026-11-03 | December 31 34% · November 30 21% · November 6 3% |
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Odds are each market's last price shown as a chance (Kalshi: its current asking price), and they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Sources: Polymarket. All trending markets