Trending market · updated Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 8%. $234K traded in the last 24 hours, and it's set to close around January 1, 2027.

OutcomePolymarket24h7 days
December 318%−5 pts−2 pts
November 301%−1 pt−2 pts

Day by day

DateOdds that day
2026-11-13December 31 8% · November 30 1%
2026-11-12December 31 8% · November 30 1%
2026-11-10December 31 14% · November 30 4%
2026-11-09December 31 13% · November 30 5%
2026-11-06December 31 10% · November 30 4%
2026-11-05December 31 9% · November 30 3%
Who's betting big on this? ArbTrader's Whale Tracker shows every large bet on markets like this one as it lands, with the trader's track record, and the AI Analyst researches the question for you in about a minute.
Try it free

Also trending

Odds are each market's last price shown as a chance (Kalshi: its current asking price), and they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Sources: Polymarket. All trending markets