Trending market · updated Nov 6, 7:21 PM ET
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Leading on Polymarket: October 31, >99%. $471K traded in the last 24 hours, and it's set to close around January 1, 2027.
| Outcome | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| October 31 | >99% | – |
| November 2 | >99% | – |
Day by day
| Date | Odds that day |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | October 31 >99% · November 2 >99% |
| 2026-11-06 | October 31 >99% · November 2 >99% |
| 2026-11-05 | October 31 >99% · November 2 >99% |
| 2026-11-04 | October 31 >99% · November 2 >99% |
| 2026-11-03 | October 31 >99% · November 2 >99% |
| 2026-11-02 | October 31 99% · November 2 96% · November 3 89% · November 4 86% |
| 2026-11-01 | October 31 >99% · November 2 97% · November 4 92% · November 8 73% |
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Odds are each market's last price shown as a chance (Kalshi: its current asking price), and they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Sources: Polymarket. All trending markets