Trending market · updated Nov 9, 1:06 PM ET
Iran leadership change by...?
Leading on Polymarket: June 30, 2027, 23%. $223K traded in the last 24 hours, and it's set to close around July 1, 2027.
| Outcome | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 23% | −1 pt |
| December 31 | 8% | – |
| November 30 | 2% | – |
Day by day
| Date | Odds that day |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | June 30, 2027 23% · December 31 8% · November 30 2% |
| 2026-11-08 | June 30, 2027 23% · December 31 9% · November 30 2% |
| 2026-11-07 | June 30, 2027 22% · December 31 9% · November 30 4% |
| 2026-11-05 | June 30, 2027 23% · December 31 9% · November 30 3% |
| 2026-11-04 | June 30, 2027 25% · December 31 8% · November 30 3% |
| 2026-11-03 | June 30, 2027 28% · December 31 13% · November 30 6% |
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Odds are each market's last price shown as a chance (Kalshi: its current asking price), and they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Sources: Polymarket. All trending markets