Trending market · updated Nov 2, 11:39 PM ET
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Leading on Polymarket: Democrats Sweep, 76%. $8.7M traded in the last 24 hours, and it's set to close around November 4, 2026.
| Outcome | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Democrats Sweep | 76% | +5 pts |
| R Senate, D House | 19% | −5 pts |
| Republicans Sweep | 6% | – |
| D Senate, R House | <1% | – |
| Other | <1% | – |
Day by day
| Date | Odds that day |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House <1% |
| 2026-11-02 | Democrats Sweep 75% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 5% · D Senate, R House <1% |
| 2026-11-01 | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House <1% |
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Odds are each market's last price shown as a chance (Kalshi: its current asking price), and they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Sources: Polymarket. All trending markets